Arthur Hayes: US may print money to support AI and Treasury debt, pushing crypto prices higher

Source: PANews2026/10/02 19:10
Analysis
Hayes's argument is a macro-liquidity thesis rather than a new policy fact: he expects AI data-center financing needs and Treasury funding pressure to force monetary expansion, which he frames as supportive for scarce assets including crypto. The transmission path runs from fiscal deficits and AI capex to central-bank balance-sheet growth, then into demand for fixed-supply assets, with Hayes also flagging a possible shift by a major Asian economy from mild tightening to large-scale stimulus as a second liquidity channel. His European watch item is concrete: French financial stress, specifically BNP Paribas credit default swaps and French government bond spreads, which would matter for risk sentiment if they widen further. These remain expectations and observations, not confirmed policy, so the useful signals to track are US fiscal and AI financing conditions, any pivot in Asian monetary stance, and French credit metrics.

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PANews reported on October 2, citing Cointelegraph, that Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer of Maelstrom, said US policymakers may print money to support AI and US Treasury financing, thereby pushing cryptocurrency prices higher. Hayes said AI companies need trillions of dollars to build data centers, and even as their service prices decline, they have few options other than printing money and making the situation less bad. Hayes also discussed the possibility that a major Asian country may shift from a "mild tightening" policy to large-scale monetary stimulus, which could revive demand for scarce assets. On Europe, he said he is watching financial stress in France, including credit default swaps related to BNP Paribas and French government bond spreads. Hayes said money printing will eventually happen at some point, but it is a disaster unfolding slowly beneath the surface.

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