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Joerg Hiller Jul 19, 2026 18:24 In an evening address, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia is relying on ballistic missiles and urged faster air-defense deliveries after a large strike hit over a hundred sites. Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 17.5% Polymarket Reprices Putin Exit Timeline After Missile-Escalation Headlines, Pushing Risk Into the 2027 Strike On Polymarket, the ladder market on whether Vladimir Putin is out as Russia’s president by specific dates is pricing a higher chance at the longest strike, with “by June 30, 2027” at 17.5% on $17.9M matched. The move comes as headlines highlight escalations in Russia’s missile campaign, and traders are expressing that view through per-deadline probabilities rather than a single binary bet. Key Takeaways Top implied outcome: “Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?” Yes 17.5% / No 82.5% on Polymarket. Traders repriced the far-dated strike upward (8.5% to 17.5%), while near-dated strikes remain low, signaling timing skepticism despite the catalyst. This is a ladder with the longest strike resolving at 2027-06-30T18:30:00+00:00; near-term rungs (mid-2026) price single-digit Yes odds. In an evening address, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia is relying on ballistic missiles and urged partners to speed up air-defense deliveries. He said Kyiv and the surrounding region were key targets in a large strike prepared over several days, with damage reported at more than a hundred sites. He also described interceptions of 18 missiles and more than a hundred drones, while warning the danger remains and pushing for daily results from agreed aid packages. Odds Ladder Snapshot: June 30, 2027 at 17.5% on $17.9M Matched vs Dec 31, 2026 at 9.0% and Sep 30, 2026 at 3.65% This Polymarket contract is a price-ladder: each date is its…